Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 236.312759 266.362474 299.691223 339.563118 386.180496 439.219469 504.499873
2025-02-23 186.815571 225.221687 271.556731 332.212572 410.468846 509.347748 645.871446
2025-03-02 165.603173 208.642707 263.552333 339.998746 445.713100 589.879581 807.001003
2025-03-09 147.799707 192.643315 252.398614 339.764447 467.585953 653.344934 954.771283
2025-03-16 132.126196 176.969186 238.863846 333.074341 477.574521 699.307486 1083.444229
2025-03-23 121.699744 167.065367 231.719238 333.855559 497.608387 762.291252 1251.172904
2025-03-30 111.087431 155.641664 220.859422 327.174325 504.226520 803.680771 1389.304544
2025-04-06 103.416861 147.709394 214.208142 325.926069 518.970590 860.414954 1567.719406
2025-04-13 93.770460 135.905928 200.403551 311.308426 508.550441 870.000992 1654.340151
2025-04-20 90.950910 134.335235 202.435876 323.160907 546.233363 974.982149 1966.598837
2025-04-27 88.740465 133.477210 205.431088 336.849455 589.060994 1097.687756 2354.034756
2025-05-04 84.401385 128.800038 201.612179 337.837087 607.488352 1173.390039 2651.314297
2025-05-11 78.798898 121.764021 193.425184 330.351840 608.912330 1214.762932 2879.637813
2025-05-18 73.935121 115.641758 186.356205 324.294116 612.615583 1262.535061 3143.719989
2025-05-25 71.610441 113.645647 186.341033 331.744161 645.936461 1386.398248 3675.811356
2025-06-01 68.371801 109.819087 182.685876 331.527518 662.328780 1472.313988 4126.067916
2025-06-08 64.558445 104.720063 176.286457 325.035273 663.485083 1519.394901 4467.039541
2025-06-15 62.011867 101.708813 173.532872 325.793413 681.678334 1616.009249 5029.116093
2025-06-22 58.765055 97.225547 167.653115 319.310022 681.494945 1661.618416 5420.432390
2025-06-29 56.394508 94.202968 164.362440 318.098630 694.219799 1747.645597 6021.079441
2025-07-06 52.709849 88.542735 155.555446 303.910248 672.092652 1724.694259 6143.073222
2025-07-13 52.117844 88.631618 158.097062 315.415014 718.504287 1925.635098 7407.135875
2025-07-20 51.704492 89.024540 161.264128 328.698346 772.062113 2165.969702 9055.789102